The NFL: Week# 15 (sponsored by the FJWFC)

[RIyankee]

Week 15 picks are brought to you by the Free JeffWeaverFan Coalition.

FREE TAYLOR!!!

DPR: Defensive Passer Rating
YPA: Offense Passing Yards Per Attempt (includes sacks and yds lost)
RI: Run Index - the average NFL rankings of Total Rushing Yards per game, the per game sum of Rushing 1st Downs and Rushing TDs, and Yards Per Carry.
DRI: Run Index (defense)
Quality Records are in parentheses.

Thursday, Dec. 14

San Francisco at Seattle 8:00 p.m.
San Francisco 5-8 (1-5), Seattle 8-5 (2-2)

When the 49ers have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: San Francisco 10.00 (T-9th)
DRI: Seattle 18.33 (18th)
Advantage: 49ERS

Passing:
YPA: San Francisco 5.68 (21st)
DPR: Seattle 85.3 (23rd)
Advantage: EVEN

When the Seahawks have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Seattle 14.67 (16th)
DRI: San Francisco 22.33 (24th)
Advantage: SEAHAWKS

Passing:
YPA: Seattle 5.52 (26th)
DPR: San Francisco 94.1 (29th)
Advantage: SEAHAWKS

Intangibles: Seattle only has a slight statistical edge on SF. Not only are the 49ers terrible on the road, but they've looked just awful over the last two weeks.
Seahawks 31-13

Saturday, Dec. 16

Dallas at Atlanta 8:00 p.m.
Dallas 8-5 (2-4), Atlanta 7-6 (1-4)

When the Falcons have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Atlanta 1.33 (1st)
DRI: Dallas 6.67 (7th)
Advantage: FALCONS

Passing:
YPA: Atlanta 4.93 (30th)
DPR: Dallas 77.8 (11th)
Advantage: COWBOYS

When the Cowboys have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Dallas 9.00 (8th)
DRI: Atlanta 11.33 (11th)
Advantage: COWBOYS

Passing:
YPA: Dallas 7.12 (4th)
DPR: Atlanta 83.7 (20th)
Advantage: COWBOYS

Intangibles: Dallas was embarrassed on national TV as well as in front of their fans. Atlanta's 1-4 quality record speaks volumes. The Falcons have scored only 13.8 ppg in these 5 games.
Cowboys 27-16

Sunday, Dec. 17

Cleveland at Baltimore 1:00 p.m.
Cleveland 4-9 (3-6), Baltimore 10-3 (5-2)

When the Browns have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Cleveland 30.00 (T-31st)
DRI: Baltimore 2.00 (2nd)
Advantage: RAVENS

Passing:
YPA: Cleveland 5.34 (29th)
DPR: Baltimore 63.3 (2nd)
Advantage: RAVENS

When the Ravens have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Baltimore 27.00 (28th)
DRI: Cleveland 26.00 (26th)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: Baltimore 6.10 (10th)
DPR: Cleveland 76.0 (8th)
Advantage: EVEN

Intangibles: The Ravens beat a quality opponent on the road last week and with the Patriots, Broncos, and Colts all struggling, Baltimore is sitting pretty on a bye.
Ravens 16-0

Detroit at Green Bay 1:00 p.m.
Detroit 2-11 (1-4), Green Bay 5-8 (0-6)

When the Lions have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Detroit 28.67 (30th)
DRI: Green Bay 17.67 (17th)
Advantage: PACKERS

Passing:
YPA: Detroit 6.01 (12th)
DPR: Green Bay 84.5 (21st)
Advantage: LIONS

When the Packers have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Green Bay 19.67 (19th)
DRI: Detroit 21.67 (T-22nd)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: Green Bay 5.93 (16th)
DPR: Detroit 97.6 (31st)
Advantage: PACKERS

Intangibles: I wish this game was on the NFL Network.
Packers 20-14

Houston at New England 1:00 p.m.
Houston 4-9 (1-6), New England 9-4 (3-3)

When the Texans have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Houston 21.33 (T-23rd)
DRI: New England 28.00 (3rd)
Advantage: PATRIOTS

Passing:
YPA: Houston 5.38 (28th)
DPR: New England 69.5 (4th)
Advantage: PATRIOTS

When the Patriots have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: New England 11.67 (12th)
DRI: Houston 23.67 (25th)
Advantage: PATRIOTS

Passing:
YPA: New England 6.09 (11th)
DPR: Houston 89.6 (28th)
Advantage: PATRIOTS

Intangibles: The Texans play their first game in Foxboro. If the Pats can't win this game, they might not win again until the fall of 2007.
Patriots 24-20

Jacksonville at Tennessee 1:00 p.m.
Jacksonville 8-5 (5-1), Tennessee 6-7 (3-6)

When the Jaguars have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Jacksonville 2.33 (2nd)
DRI: Tennessee 27.00 (T-27th)
Advantage: JAGUARS

Passing:
YPA: Jacksonville 5.98 (14th)
DPR: Tennessee 88.5 (27th)
Advantage: JAGUARS

When the Titans have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Tennessee 6.00 (4th)
DRI: Jacksonville 5.33 (4th)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: Tennessee 5.43 (26th)
DPR: Jacksonville 63.5 (3rd)
Advantage: JAGUARS

Intangibles: With Garrard at QB, the Jags should continue their run-first approach. The Titans run defense is almost as bad as the Colts.
Jaguars 27-20

Miami at Buffalo 1:00 p.m.
Miami 6-7 (3-3), Buffalo 6-7 (2-6)

When the Dolphins have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Miami 20.67 (22nd)
DRI: Buffalo 28.33 (29th)
Advantage: DOLPHINS

Passing:
YPA: Miami 5.44 (25th)
DPR: Buffalo 85.9 (24th)
Advantage: EVEN

When the Bills have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Buffalo 24.33 (T-25th)
DRI: Miami 6.33 (6th)
Advantage: DOLPHINS

Passing:
YPA: Buffalo 5.43 (27th)
DPR: Miami 79.3 (14th)
Advantage: DOLPHINS

Intangibles: It's not often that the Bills sweep Miami. Dick Jauron must continue to utilize the deep passing game, which is Losman's strength.
Bills 17-16

N.Y. Jets at Minnesota 1:00 p.m.
N.Y. Jets 7-6 (1-4), Minnesota 6-7 (1-3)

When the Jets have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: NY Jets 17.67 (17th)
DRI: Minnesota 1.00 (1st)
Advantage: VIKINGS

Passing:
YPA: NY Jets 5.87 (18th)
DPR: Minnesota 71.9 (5th)
Advantage: VIKINGS

When the Vikings have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Minnesota 14.33 (15th)
DRI: NY Jets 27.00 (T-27th)
Advantage: VIKINGS

Passing:
YPA: Minnesota 5.52 (23rd)
DPR: NY Jets 78.3 (12th)
Advantage: JETS

Intangibles: The Vikings defense looks great on paper, but their 1-3 quality record tells a different story. Chad Pennington must have a solid game, since I doubt New York will run on Minnesota.
Jets 28-17

Pittsburgh at Carolina 1:00 p.m.
Pittsburgh 6-7 (2-6), Carolina 6-7 (2-5)

When the Steelers have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Pittsburgh 14.00 (T-13th)
DRI: Carolina 12.33 (T-13th)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: Pittsburgh 6.60 (7th)
DPR: Carolina 81.5 (18th)
Advantage: STEELERS

When the Panthers have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Carolina 19.00 (18th)
DRI: Pittsburgh 4.67 (6th)
Advantage: STEELERS

Passing:
YPA: Carolina 5.81 (20th)
DPR: Pittsburgh 77.8 (10th)
Advantage: STEELERS

Intangibles: The Steelers great run defense will force Carolina to rely more on their passing game. That's spells doom for the Panthers. The Steelers should win easily if Roethlisberger doesn't throw away the game (Ben's 2006 INT% is 5.09).
Steelers 24-10

Tampa Bay at Chicago 1:00 p.m.
Tampa Bay 3-10 (2-7), Chicago 11-2 (3-1)

When the Buccaneers have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Tampa Bay 27.33 (29th)
DRI: Chicago 11.00 (10th)
Advantage: BEARS

Passing:
YPA: Tampa Bay 4.58 (31st)
DPR: Chicago 60.6 (1st)
Advantage: BEARS

When the Bears have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Chicago 20.00 (T-20th)
DRI: Tampa Bay 16.67 (T-15th)
Advantage: BUCCANEERS

Passing:
YPA: Chicago 6.16 (9th)
DPR: Tampa Bay 96.5 (30th)
Advantage: BEARS

Intangibles: Da Bears still need to lock up home field advantage.
Bears 21-3

Washington at New Orleans 1:00 p.m.
Washington 4-9 (2-6), New Orleans 9-4 (4-2)

When the Redskins have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Washington 8.00 (7th )
DRI: New Orleans 21.67 (T-22nd)
Advantage: REDSKINS

Passing:
YPA: Washington 6.01 (13th)
DPR: New Orleans 85.0 (22nd)
Advantage: REDSKINS

When the Saints have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: New Orleans 20.33 (T-20th)
DRI: Washington 19.00 (T-19th)
Advantage: SAINTS

Passing:
YPA: New Orleans 7.95 (1st)
DPR: Washington 99.8 (32nd)
Advantage: SAINTS

Intangibles: When the best passing offense plays at home against the worst passing defense, guess who wins.
Saints 38-27

Denver at Arizona 4:05 p.m.
Denver 7-6 (3-5), Arizona 4-9 (1-5)

When the Broncos have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Denver 7.67 (T-5th)
DRI: Arizona 20.67 (21st)
Advantage: BRONCOS

Passing:
YPA: Denver 5.57 (22nd)
DPR: Arizona 83.7 (19th)
Advantage: CARDINALS

When the Cardinals have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Arizona 30.00 (T-31st)
DRI: Denver 12.00 (12th)
Advantage: BRONCOS

Passing:
YPA: Arizona 5.97 (15th)
DPR: Denver 79.4 (15th)
Advantage: EVEN

Intangibles: If Denver wants to save their season, this game is a good place to start.
Broncos 21-17

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants 4:15 p.m.
Philadelphia 7-6 (1-4), N.Y. Giants 7-6 (3-5)

When the Eagles have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Philadelphia 10.00 (T-9th)
DRI: N.Y. Giants 9.33 (8th)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: Philadelphia 6.91 (5th)
DPR: N.Y. Giants 77.1 (9th)
Advantage: EAGLES

When the Giants have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: NY Giants 7.67 (T-5th)
DRI: Philadelphia 28.67 (30th)
Advantage: GIANTS

Passing:
YPA: NY Giants 5.88 (19th)
DPR: Philadelphia 74.2 (7th)
Advantage: EAGLES

Intangibles: The keys to a Giants victory are simple: establish the runnning game and avoid turnovers. Are the Eagles better off with Jeff Garcia over McNabb at QB? It will be an interesting offseason in Philly.
Giants 30-27

St. Louis at Oakland 4:15 p.m.
St. Louis 5-8 (1-5), Oakland 2-11 (0-8)

When the Rams have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: St. Louis 21.33 (T-23rd)
DRI: Oakland 19.00 (T-19th)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: St. Louis 5.92 (17th)
DPR: Oakland 73.0 (6th)
Advantage: RAIDERS

When the Raiders have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Oakland 26.67 (27th)
DRI: St. Louis 30.33 (31st)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: Oakland 4.29 (32nd)
DPR: St. Louis 86.3 (25th)
Advantage: RAMS

Intangibles: I wish this game was on the NFL Network too.
Raiders 19-17

Kansas City at San Diego 8:15 p.m.
Kansas City 7-6 (3-3), San Diego 11-2 (3-2)

When the Chiefs have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Kansas City 10.33 (11th)
DRI: San Diego 9.67 (9th)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: Kansas City 6.36 (8th)
DPR: San Diego 78.7 (13th)
Advantage: CHIEFS

When the Chargers have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: San Diego 3.00 (3rd)
DRI: Kansas City 13.67 (14th)
Advantage: CHARGERS

Passing:
YPA: San Diego 6.78 (6th)
DPR: Kansas City 88.0 (26th)
Advantage: CHARGERS

Intangibles: The Chiefs are in a free fall that coincides with their pass defense.
Chargers 31-28

Monday, Dec. 18

Cincinnati at Indianapolis 8:30 p.m.
Cincinnati 8-5 (3-4), Indianapolis 10-3 (6-2)

When the Bengals have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Cincinnati 24.33 (T-25th)
DRI: Indianapolis 32.00 (32nd)
Advantage: BENGALS

Passing:
YPA: Cincinnati 7.26 (3rd)
DPR: Indianapolis 81.3 (17th)
Advantage: BENGALS

When the Colts have the ball:

Rushing:
RI: Indianapolis 14.00 (T-13th)
DRI: Cincinnati 6.00 (T-15th)
Advantage: EVEN

Passing:
YPA: Indianapolis 7.51 (2nd)
DPR: Cincinnati 79.8 (16th)
Advantage: COLTS

Intangibles: A great game on MNF? Who would expect that? Carson Palmer and Rudi Johnson must be drooling.
Bengals 41-38

FREE TAYLOR!!!

[gdn]

If F is free, then where's the S for Save?

[DaBoys4LifeNYY35]

Originally Posted by gdn

If F is free, then where's the S for Save?

You raise an excellent point.

[PinstripePride]

Free Taylor!

[gdn]

I concur!

FREE TAYLOR!

[dabomb2045]

FREE TAYLOR!!

And in his honor....I will predict Pennington throwing for 300 yards with 3 td's....and a 27-17 Jets win.

[cmaff05]

Free JeffWeaverFan And Ryan

(I'm not a big fan of football)

[Pepper03]

Please bring back Taylor.

[RIyankee]

Originally Posted by gdn

If F is free, then where's the S for Save?

Ah.

Corrected.

[RIyankee]

All we are saying, is give Taylor a chance.

[In Mo I Trust]

It looks like he got another chance, his status has changed to "suspended".

[dabomb2045]

Originally Posted by In Mo I Trust

It looks like he got another chance, his status has changed to "suspended".

Woohoo!!

[cmaff05]

How come Ryan wasn't changed from Released Outright to Suspended?

[#1PaFan]

Originally Posted by In Mo I Trust

It looks like he got another chance, his status has changed to "suspended".

That is VERY good news!

[PinstripePride]

WOOHOO!!!

[#1PaFan]

Originally Posted by PinstripePride

WOOHOO!!!

Now, he just has to learn how to control himself! One thing I cannot tolerate is a person with no self-discipline!!!

[Archer1979]

Originally Posted by #1PaFan

Now, he just has to learn how to control himself! One thing I cannot tolerate is a person with no self-discipline!!!

By the way, I want to publically thank the moderators involved in this decision as well. It was a fair decision and showed why you folks are so well regarded. I give it an 8.75.

Thank you.

[dabomb2045]

Originally Posted by Archer1979

By the way, I want to publically thank the moderators involved in this decision as well. It was a fair decision and showed why you folks are so well regarded. I give it an 8.75.

Thank you.

Well said. Alot of people voiced their displeasure to the mods about this....and I'm happy they let our voices be heard. Thanks for being fair.

[#1PaFan]

Hey, we're on a roll here!!!

BRING BACK Ansky39!!!!

(Here's to Kurt: )

[BonusCantos]

Well, um, I'll actually get on to football.

I had a feeling the Niners would win, and right now the game's essentially in SF's pocket.